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2 July 2008

TIMBER PRICES

UPM Tilhill Timber Bulletin Summer 2008

The latest UPM Tilhill Timber Bulletin is now available to be downloaded - UPM Tilhill Timber Bulletin 2008

UPM Tilhill harvests over some 1.7 million tonnes of timber and exports 400,000 tonnes a year. They should therefore be well placed with their parent company UPM Kymmene to identify trends in UK timber prices.

In summary UPM Tilhill predicts that there will be lower prices for construction timber as house prices decline with strong continuing interest in small roundwood. The increasing cost of fuel for harvesting, transport and energy in the mills will also impact on prices. The trend illustrated in figure 11 shows a 3% - 5% fall in 2008 and 5% p.a. growth in the two years thereafter.

FIM believes that the short term timber price decline is likely to be more pronounced and the speed of recovery and growth will depend on the wider economic climate. Longer term outlook for timber prices for the next 10 years is good.

IPD INDEX

Timber prices are a major factor in commercial forest values; however as demonstrated by the Investment Property Databank (IPD) UK Forestry Index, forestry has proved a resilient investment (www.ipdindex.co.uk). Over the period 1992-2007 the Timber Price Index declined by 50% whereas the annualised upper quartile return of commercial forestry values over that time was 5.1% per annum.

To download the full document please select link below.

IPD UK Forestry Index 2008





 

For further background information on forestry investment please view our website.
 

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